Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 23.985172 27.224847 30.764048 34.921253 39.675621 44.948978 51.249459
2025-01-26 19.633444 24.146329 29.505962 36.357744 44.909774 55.264794 68.804069
2025-02-02 16.923387 22.214988 28.942571 38.163885 50.539282 66.663859 89.414384
2025-02-09 14.565622 20.183077 27.741995 38.726763 54.400219 76.136008 108.871554
2025-02-16 12.407056 17.999601 25.897268 37.963522 56.112496 82.677525 125.028689
2025-02-23 10.774713 16.275492 24.381422 37.327912 57.737654 89.091433 141.706178
2025-03-02 9.505252 14.888152 23.130275 36.833558 59.378545 95.574784 159.241745
2025-03-09 8.567889 13.874845 22.292687 36.817814 61.681690 103.278275 179.744507
2025-03-16 7.757561 12.954005 21.469325 36.676881 63.686380 110.641648 200.604304
2025-03-23 7.333159 12.614234 21.545690 38.039361 68.406690 123.224579 232.618168
2025-03-30 6.765480 11.957105 20.994138 38.203000 70.954078 132.166215 259.023973
2025-04-06 6.117739 11.083085 19.957354 37.339369 71.444740 137.268908 278.552635
2025-04-13 5.580457 10.368986 19.161969 36.891464 72.791070 144.420711 303.871002
2025-04-20 5.324248 10.153858 19.272885 38.219037 77.854596 159.721135 349.028426
2025-04-27 5.145012 10.065425 19.613395 40.044527 84.186278 178.538304 405.137674
2025-05-04 4.841765 9.697062 19.359131 40.606121 87.903252 192.275319 451.968422
2025-05-11 4.432353 9.068581 18.508956 39.792256 88.485457 199.133212 483.576127
2025-05-18 4.079967 8.521079 17.766758 39.119964 89.288617 206.586383 517.892689
2025-05-25 3.776774 8.046370 17.127826 38.598897 90.366804 214.821020 555.602218
2025-06-01 3.543878 7.700098 16.730159 38.581722 92.640493 226.261333 603.762938
2025-06-08 3.321951 7.355420 16.299540 38.433414 94.569180 237.106897 652.227219
2025-06-15 3.231367 7.298513 16.513637 39.864810 100.669817 259.542115 737.482286
2025-06-22 3.061019 7.039730 16.232794 40.036709 103.532337 273.840227 801.690578